Nayib Bukele: New conservatism in El Salvador

On June 1, 2024, Nayib Bukele commenced his second term as president of El Salvador, a moment marking a new chapter in the country’s turbulent history. Bukele’s meteoric rise to power and radical reordering of the nation’s post-1992 establishment have bewildered political analysts worldwide. However, beneath the surface of his bold policies lies a calculated and visionary strategy: the creation of a stable, self-reliant Salvadoran state capable of projecting both national and regional influence. Bukele’s achievements and his distinct approach to governance deserve examination, as they signal a broader trend of conservatism reshaping political landscapes globally.

Rebuilding El Salvador: Context and Challenges

Nestled along the Pacific seaboard of Central America, El Salvador has historically been a nation of stark contrasts. With a population exceeding six million in a landmass the size of Massachusetts, the country’s densely packed society has often grappled with economic inequality, political upheaval, and violence. The scars of the 12-year Civil War, which ended in 1992, left a legacy of division and instability. Despite the promise of the Chapultepec Accords, which sought to establish a constitutional democracy and integrate the leftist Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) into mainstream politics, the underlying societal fissures remained unhealed.

Post-war governments oscillated between center-right (ARENA) and center-left (FMLN) administrations, but neither managed to address the root causes of violence and poverty. By the late 1990s, gangs like MS-13 and Barrio 18 began consolidating power, fueled by the return of Salvadoran migrants deported from the United States. The gang problem metastasized, driving crime rates to alarming levels and crippling the economy. Efforts such as ARENA’s “Mano Dura” policies and FMLN’s attempted truces failed to yield lasting results. Against this backdrop of frustration and disillusionment, Bukele emerged as a disruptor.

Bukele’s Rise: From Outsider to Leader

Nayib Bukele’s political journey began in the most unconventional manner. Born in 1981 to a prosperous Palestinian Christian family, Bukele’s early life was shaped by privilege and opportunity. His father, a businessman who later converted to Islam, instilled in him a pragmatic and entrepreneurial mindset. Bukele entered politics at 31 as the mayor of Nuevo Cuscatlán under the FMLN banner, where he gained recognition for his results-oriented governance. His tenure as mayor of San Salvador (2015-2018) further cemented his reputation as a transformative leader, delivering high-profile infrastructure projects and directly engaging with citizens.

Despite his initial association with the FMLN, Bukele’s independent streak led to clashes with party leadership. Expelled from the FMLN in 2017, he founded his own political movement, Nuevas Ideas, emphasizing transparency, anti-corruption, and public safety. Running under the banner of the GANA party in 2019, Bukele captured the presidency with a decisive victory, marking the first break from the traditional two-party dominance.

Security Success: The Bukele Model

Bukele’s most significant achievement has been his unprecedented success in combating gang violence. Upon taking office, El Salvador’s murder rate was among the highest in the world, at 38 per 100,000 people. Five years later, this figure has plummeted to 2.4 per 100,000, the second-lowest in the Western Hemisphere. This dramatic reduction is attributed to Bukele’s uncompromising approach, encapsulated in his Territorial Control Plan.

The strategy combines aggressive law enforcement with technology and social initiatives. Key measures include the deployment of the military and police to gang-controlled areas, the construction of a state-of-the-art mega-prison to isolate gang leaders, and enhanced surveillance capabilities. Bukele’s government has also invested in community development programs to address the socio-economic conditions that breed crime. While critics argue that these measures risk authoritarian overreach, the results are undeniable: businesses are reopening, tourism is rebounding, and Salvadorans feel safer than they have in decades.

A New Conservatism: Beyond Security

Bukele’s governance extends beyond public safety. His embrace of economic modernization, digital innovation, and cultural revival reflects a broader conservative ethos that prioritizes national sovereignty, self-reliance, and traditional values. His administration’s adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021 signaled an audacious commitment to financial innovation, aiming to attract investment and reduce reliance on remittances. Simultaneously, Bukele has championed infrastructure projects, such as new schools and hospitals, to foster human capital development.

On the international stage, Bukele has redefined El Salvador’s foreign policy. Eschewing Cold War-era alignments, he has sought pragmatic partnerships with diverse actors, from the United States to China. His ability to navigate geopolitical currents while asserting El Salvador’s interests has bolstered the country’s image as a rising player in Central America.

The Bukele Doctrine: A Template for Conservatism

Bukele’s success offers lessons for the emerging wave of conservative leaders worldwide. His approach integrates firm governance with a clear vision for national rejuvenation. By prioritizing public safety, economic growth, and cultural pride, Bukele has forged a broad coalition that transcends traditional political divides. His adept use of social media to communicate directly with citizens underscores the importance of connecting with voters in an era of disinformation and polarization.

Critics argue that Bukele’s methods concentrate power and undermine democratic norms. However, his supporters contend that strong leadership is necessary to dismantle entrenched systems of corruption and restore order. The balance between authority and accountability remains a defining challenge for Bukele and his contemporaries.

Challenges and Opportunities

As Bukele embarks on his second term, his administration faces significant challenges. Economic diversification, climate resilience, and educational reform are critical areas requiring sustained attention. Additionally, maintaining international credibility while pursuing bold domestic policies will test Bukele’s diplomatic acumen.

Nevertheless, Bukele’s achievements provide a foundation for optimism. By addressing the root causes of instability and investing in the nation’s future, he has positioned El Salvador as a beacon of hope in a region often defined by despair. His leadership exemplifies the potential of a new conservatism that prioritizes results over rhetoric and unity over division.

Nayib Bukele’s presidency represents a transformative moment for El Salvador and a broader shift in global politics. His success in reducing violence, revitalizing the economy, and fostering national pride underscores the potential of strong, visionary leadership. As conservatism evolves to meet the challenges of the 21st century, Bukele’s model offers a compelling blueprint for leaders seeking to restore trust in governance and inspire their nations to greatness.

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