AfD popularity hits record high: warning signs for CDU/CSU

According to the latest poll conducted by the INSA institute for BILD, support for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party continues to grow. Currently, AfD’s popularity has reached 22%, a record high over the past year.

“With a result of 22 percent, AfD has reached its highest level in a year,” stated INSA head Hermann Binkert.

At the same time, the CDU/CSU bloc, led by Friedrich Merz, has lost one percentage point, dropping to 30%. This is the party’s lowest level since October of last year.

Also noteworthy is the Alliance for Sarah Wagenknecht party, which, according to the poll, has garnered 6%. Despite its growth, the party remains at risk, as it must surpass the 5% threshold to enter the Bundestag. The situation for other parties remains stable. The Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) holds steady at 16%, the Greens at 13%, while the Free Democratic Party and the Left Party, with 4% and 3% respectively, fail to meet the threshold for parliamentary representation.

INSA sociologists note that a real majority in the Bundestag could currently only be achieved through a CDU/CSU and SPD coalition (together at 46%). However, in theory, a CDU/CSU and AfD coalition—though officially ruled out—would command 52%, an outright majority.

The AfD party congress promises to be a pivotal event that will determine the party’s future strategy amid growing voter support.

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