Just days before Germany’s snap elections, support for the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has fallen to its lowest level in the past one and a half years.
According to Die Welt, citing data from a YouGov poll, the CDU’s rating has dropped by 2 percentage points compared to the previous survey, reaching 27%. Despite this decline, the party remains the frontrunner. The last time it had such a low rating was in August 2023.
The right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) ranks second with 20%. Meanwhile, Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democratic Party (SPD) has gained 1 point and now stands at 17%. The Green Party maintains a stable rating of 12%, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP) holds at 4%.
An unexpected surge was seen in the Left Party, which increased its support by 3 points to 9%, effectively tripling its approval ratings over six weeks. At the same time, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance remains at 5%, giving it a chance to enter the Bundestag.
YouGov’s data differs significantly from other polling institutes. For example, Insa, Forsa, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen estimate the CDU’s support at 30%, while infratest dimap even reports 32%. Meanwhile, most institutes place the Left Party at 6-7% and the SPD at 14-16%.
On January 29, the Bundestag approved a CDU/CSU proposal to tighten migration policy with the support of the Alternative for Germany. This vote was a turning point, as it broke the long-standing consensus among German parties against cooperating with right-wing forces.
