Support for the “Estonia 200” party, one of the two in the ruling coalition, has hit a new low, dropping to just 1.4% last week, according to data from a Norstat poll reported by ERR.
The poll, conducted on behalf of the Institute of Social Research from February 25 to March 23, surveyed 4,000 eligible Estonian voters.
Support for the opposition party Isamaa has surged to 31.7%, its highest level since early 2019, when the research company began conducting these surveys. In second place is the populist right-conservative EKRE with 17.7%. The Reform Party, led by current Prime Minister Kristen Michal, holds 16.8% support. Meanwhile, the rating of their sole coalition partner, the liberal Estonia 200, has plummeted to a record low of 1.4%. The party’s representatives include Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna.
The opposition Centre Party has gained support, reaching 15.4%, while the Social Democratic Party (which was recently expelled from the government) has dropped to 9.8%—its lowest level since September 2024.
The combined support for the coalition parties now stands at just 18.8%, while the total support for all opposition parties has reached 74.6%.
It is worth noting that Estonia recently underwent a government reshuffle. In early March, the Social Democrats announced that their coalition partners had decided to discontinue cooperation with them. The three parties had been coalition partners for nearly two years after forming a government following the 2023 elections.
On March 24, the Reform Party and Estonia 200 signed a new coalition agreement.
